Fiscal Spending Multiplier in Selected European Union Countries

Authors

Keywords:

Fiscal multiplier, Business cycle, Trade openness, Exchange rate regime, Fiscal sustainability
E32, E62, H50

Abstract

This paper estimates the fiscal spending multiplier in Bulgaria, Poland, Romania, Estonia, Denmark, Germany, Greece, and Italy for the 2000-2018 period. It is calculated by algebraically transforming the traditional Keynesian multiplier formula. In addition, the formula is subjected to further modification to take into account the impact of various structural and conjunctural factors, such as business cycle, trade openness, exchange rate regime, and fiscal sustainability, which all have an impact on the multiplier effect.

References

P Conway, A Orr - Westpac Institutional Bank Occasional …, 2002 (2002). The GIRM: A global interest rate model. Westpac Institutional Bank Occasional Paper. URL: https://assets.dam.westpac.co.nz/is/content/wnzl/dist/all-of-bank/economic-reports/research-papers/Research-Papers_The-GIRM-Occasional-Paper_bulletin_02Sep02.pdf

K Karagyozova-Markova, G Deyanov, V Iliev - Bulgarian National Bank …, 2013 (2013). Fiscal policy and economic growth in Bulgaria. BNB Discussion Papers. URL: https://www.bnb.bg/bnbweb/groups/public/documents/bnb_publication/discussion_2013_90_en.pdf

N Velichkov - Economic Alternatives, 2016 (2016). Effects of Government Debt on Macroeconomic Activity (The Case of Bulgaria). Economic Alternatives, 1, 24-32. URL: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Iliyan-Petrov-2/publication/358041993_Improving_Market_Structure_Analysis_Methodology_with_the_Concepts_Phase_Structure_States_and_Set_Concentration_Index/links/61ed4d175779d35951cbcfb9/Improving-Market-Structure-Analysis-Methodology-with-the-Concepts-Phase-Structure-States-and-Set-Concentration-Index.pdf#page=24

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Published

2021-03-17

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Section

Articles

How to Cite

Velichkov, N. (2021). Fiscal Spending Multiplier in Selected European Union Countries. Research Papers, 5, 127-139. https://yb.e-dnrs.org/index.php/rp/article/view/5336